Maelys Bougrat vs Maria Rentoumi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Maria Rentoumi has a lower second serve success rate than Maelys Bougrat, achieving 23.33% compared to Bougrat's 30.99%. Could this give Bougrat an advantage in rallies?
• In return games, both players show competitive statistics. Rentoumi wins 42.86% of second serve return points, slightly behind Bougrat's 45.83%. However, Rentoumi slightly edges out Bougrat on first serve return stats, winning 34.21% against Bougrat’s 33.64%.
• Bougrat is much more effective under pressure, saving 42.65% of breakpoints, in stark contrast to Rentoumi's 18.18%.
• Rentoumi has demonstrated stronger match-winning capabilities over the past year, with a win rate of 71.43% compared to Bougrat’s 40.91%.
• Both players excel on clay, each posting a 75% career win rate. However, Bougrat struggles on I.hard surfaces with only a 22% win rate, whereas Rentoumi's worst surface is Hard, with a still respectable 67% win rate.
• Rentoumi has faced significantly higher-ranked opponents on average (60.57) than Bougrat (278.59), suggesting she may be accustomed to a higher level of competition.
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Rentoumi boasts a perfect record over the last 12 months, while Bougrat has won only 33% of such sets.

Editorial Prediction (November 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performance and statistical profiles of both players suggests distinct contrasts in their games. Maelys Bougrat demonstrates superiority in second serve performance and saving breakpoints, which could be pivotal in high-pressure scenarios.

Conversely, Maria Rentoumi's overall win rate and experience against tougher opponents, coupled with her impeccable record in deciding sets, indicate her resilience and competitive edge, especially in critical match moments. Additionally, despite Bougrat's proficiency on clay, her struggles on other surfaces reveal potential vulnerabilities.

Considering these elements, Rentoumi's stronger annual performance and ability to perform under pressure provide her with a slight edge. Therefore, Maria Rentoumi is predicted to most likely win this upcoming tennis match.